| FOR the
past eight years, the Bush administration has
been passionately busy doling out billions of
dollars in tax cuts, contracts and subsidies to
make the rich richer. At the same time, it was
hitting hard the middle and lower classes by denying
health care, increasing interest rate on student
loans and cutting down heavily on social welfare
measures. It has been a nasty rule for a majority
of the Americans. An average American not only
lost in terms of economic powers, but also personal
liberties with state agencies swooping down all
around.
And,
as President Bush moved into War against Terror,
first attacking and nearly destroying Iraq and
tearing its social fabric and plundering its oil
wealth, it moved quickly into Afghanistan, reducing
it into rubble. Now Pakistan, a close alley for
six decades is under attack. To state that America
was getting politically isolated at the world
stage is to state the obvious. Forget the inane
remark of Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh
that “Indians loved Bush very much”,
no other leader across the word makes such revered
expressions about him.
But now the economic meltdown, depression or
whatever name the economists call it is causing
irreparable damage. Some four trillion dollars
of public money has been already pushed into the
bail out the defaulting banks, financial institutions
and insurance companies. No one is talking about
fixing the responsibility, but every one is keen
to grab as much as possible from 700 billion dollars
package granted by the American Congress. This
sum is equal to what America has spent in war
on terror. It is another matter that oil companies
have made a rich haul of over 40 billion dollars
during the oil price rise and in addition to what
they earned through tax cuts, subsidies and new
explorations granted to them.
What has caused the current fiscal crisis or
is it appropriate to call it a mere fiscal crisis
of a few trillion dollars here or there. Or is
it failure of the American system, capitalism,
and the free market bootees. In particular when
it sheds its duplicitous skin and takes to imperialism;
invading countries and plundering them.
Some recent events would clearly show this. When
the White House brought out its $700 billion rescue
plan, its sheer size was meant to soothe the global
financial system, restoring trust and confidence.
Now, it looks like a pebble tossed into a churning
sea. It points to a major calamity in the making.
Clamaity is right there. But it is diifficult
to swallow the truth.
The crisis that began as a made-in-America subprime
lending problem and radiated across the world
is now circling back home. They pulled their best
to rescue first the mortgage industry, then the
investment bank Bear Stearns, then the mortgage
finance giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, then
Lehman Brothers and AIG, and now the entire financial
system. With Europe and the United States deep
in crisis, the rest of the world could not help
but suffer. The crisis could be a “tipping
point” for the developing world.
A drop in exports, as well as capital inflow,
will trigger a falloff in investments. Deceleration
of growth and deteriorating financial conditions,
combined with monetary tightening, will trigger
business failures and possibly banking emergencies.
And, capitalist are turing to ‘soocialist
model’ of nationalsing the banks with tax
payers money. The US government is injecting capital
directly into the nation's banks. The French government
too is guaranteeing banks' short-term borrowings
as well as their deposits.Three of Britain's biggest
banks were thrown a £37bn lifeline by the
Government as part of a dramatic taxpayer rescue
of the UK's banking system. Under the unprecedented
package, the Government could theoretically end
up owning around 60 per cent of RBS, and 43.5
per cent of the combined Lloyds TSB-HBOS entity.
Leverage is at the heart of the current crises.
Over the past 20 years, banks and financial trading
houses have so leveraged their assets, including
exotic ones such as Collateralized Debt Obligations,
that some 18 trillion dollars of marketable debt
now overhangs the global financial system like
the proverbial Sword of Damocles.
U.S. money center bank, including Citibank,
J.P Morgan Chase and Bank of America report leverage
of a mere 12:1, but that does not include their
off-the-books collateral obligations, which run
to many hundreds of billions of dollars in Revolver
lines of credit to which they are committed. General
Electric financial subsidies alone had to provide
$600 billion in Revolver loans, which is reportedly
why the Fed had to inject capital directly into
the commercial paper market.
The financial trading houses, such as Lehman
Brothers, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs had
been leveraged at 30:1 prior to the bankruptcy
of Lehman Brothers and conversion of Morgan Stanley
and Goldman Sachs into banks. Deutsche Bank has
leverage of 60:1, and some Russian banks have
leverage of over 100:1. In the case of these highly-leveraged
European and Russian banks, a decline of just
two percent decline in the value of the underlying
assets would wipe out all their capital. Given
this sky-high leverage, it is hardly surprising,
that banks are not extending credit to each other,
and that confidence in the financial system has
all but collapsed.
Other countries are resorting to same tactics
and should be ready to face the same failures.the
malary is much deeper and would require a more
open approach to understand and avoid repeated
despressions. Basic shift from a greedy, no hold
barred market capitalist model to a resposnive
pro people model.
BACK
|