| INDIA,
a multi cultural, multi national and multi lingual
reality is a multi political party reality also.
The election results would clearly demonstrate
this.
This may make a stable government formation
at the national level a tough task. Television
networks came out with their exist polls [banned
till now] and projections on the last day of voting
on May 13.
They
talked about a fractured polity. It was beyond
their comprehension to understand the many political
hues of this emerging democracy where now money
and muscle are ruling the roost. As India advances
industrially and leaves the vestiges of feudal
setup, political landscape would be clearer.
These estimates and exist polls varied as much
the country’s political scene. Projections
showed, as one of the country's most fiercely
contested battles for power ended after voting
by some 428 million people. Election officials
estimated that some 60 percent of the 714 million
electorate, more than the combined population
of Russia and the US. Voters voted during five
phases, the longest ever spread over two months.
The results will be known MAY 16.
Yet savour the projections.
Three projections put the Congress-led United
Progressive Alliance (UPA) slightly ahead of the
Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic
Alliance (NDA), with the Congress tipped to finish
as the single largest party in the 545-member
Lok Sabha.
An India TV exit poll said the UPA could end
up with 195-201 seats and the NDA with 189-195
seats. The UPA tally could go up to 227-237 if
the seats bagged by its estranged allies were
included.
The Star News-Nielsen exit poll also put the
UPA marginally ahead with 199 seats, just ahead
of the NDA's 191 seats. The Congress itself was
expected to win 155 seats and the BJP 153, both
more than what they bagged in 2004.
TimesNow television channel gave 198 seats to
the UPA and 183 to the NDA, with the Communist
strength in the Lok Sabha falling steeply from
over 60 to 38. Smaller and regional groups are
expected to win 124 seats and thus determine who
gets the throne in New Delhi.
The India TV exit poll gave the wobbly Third
Front -- an alliance of the Communists and regional
parties -- 113-121 seats. The Star-Nielsen gave
it 104 seats.
The projections mirrored the pre-election mood
across the country, triggered a furious debate
among pundits about who would get to rule India
by cobbling a coalition of disparate groups.
The feared cliffhanger result has already forced
the Congress and the BJP, to desperately scout
for new allies. It is a complex political situation
that allows a lot of wheeling dealing. The political
class, a divided as it was has brought this result
.
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